Architected Futures™

Tools and strategies ... for boiling the ocean

Futures Economics (Group)

"Futurists Interested in playing economic models" like, maybe, The Fed. Or rather "Citizens of the planet that are interested in how their livelihood depends on economic stability and assurance that are dependent on the success of economic forecasts and might be interested in playing economic models.". Member rules for AF preclude Fed membership or corporate membership, although we appreciate and support individual members with experience and knowledge in the subject matter to join in related group activities: forums, discussions groups, modeling activities, documentation and related training activities, etc..

This is also a "badge" members can wear when engaged in community activities, such as playing Vision World.

Sub Groups

  • Living wages for all people (affiliated with the personal assurances and rights group, and the Life Satisfaction for All Peoples Group)
    • These may sound like silly, made up names. They are. But they are "persona" aliases for real groups that fit a stereotype depicted by the label. There are also variations of a theme on that label. These may even be phiosophically "opposed" groups on the same theme. They can be parties. Identification of real groups, with real membership numbers, and real group "philosophies" is the beginning of surrogate personalities that can be coded as agents in an agent-based model to simulate group behavior, group direction, group values, etc. This is the basis for our modeling framework to be able to create an integrated, multiplexed model of current conditions and expected futures conditions. 
    • This type of slicing and dicing, provides the basis for agent population sets to occury or define populations in our models. Better granularity provides better models, within limits.
    • We can/will/should, over time, be able to determine the utility of granularity in using these models.
      • If we run a select higher level model multiple times, like a Raphson(?) integration, when and how does the variance curve dissipate to no difference. That is the point of no further value in "crunching numbers, further distinctions do not matter. We can save resources, and just return the noow "static" values.
  • Global Economic Stability Group (regulation should be largely a careful hand on the tiller to be able to weather storms, not rocket science trying to maximize a biased version of value [ps. that's you wall street, money isn't everything, in fact, it's probably the least important factor because it's only a means to an end, it isn't a legitimate end in its own right. Not in my models!])
  • Life Satisfaction for All Peoples Group. (Is it possible? How is it defined?)
  • Metrics Group (This is how we figure out what makes sense for the real world and how to tune our regulatory systems to maximize sustained value for the membership.)

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